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You Pick the Box Office Winner: 'Men in Black 3' vs. 'Chernobyl Diaries'

For a couple of decades now, Memorial Day weekend has been a huge one for Hollywood. Sure, a lot of big films are now coming out as early as March (see: The Hunger Games), but for some old-schoolers the summer movie season really doesn't start until this weekend. It's a weekend that's been used before to debut Star Wars and Indiana Jones movies, and this year it's being used to drop a big sequel from one of Hollywood's A-list elite. Does that guarantee it a win, or will The Avengers -- and/or a movie from the guy behind Paranormal Activity -- pull off an upset? Let's take a closer look ...

Men in Black 3

What's the Scoop: Will Smith and Tommy Lee Jones return for a third installment in this buddy action comedy about a secret government agency who specialize in keeping an eye on the crazy, weird aliens from other planets who've decided to take up residence on our home turf. This time, Agent J (Smith) must travel back in time to the 1960s to stop an alien from assassinating his mentor and partner, Agent K (Jones, with a younger version played by Josh Brolin).

Why It Might Win the Weekend: Because it's a popular franchise starring one of Hollywood's most popular actors. Plus it's the only true blockbuster opening this weekend, which should give it a fairly easy win.

Chernobyl Diaries

What's the Scoop: Six tourists hire an extreme tour guide to take them to the city of Pripyat, where the Chernobyl nuclear disaster took place back in the mid-80s. Once there they soon learn they're not alone ...

Why It Might Win the Weekend: Well it was written and produced by Oren Peli, who first rocked the horror world with his indie hit Paranormal Activity. So if you're looking for something a bit scarier than Men in Black III and less mainstream, this is the better bet.

My Prediction: Sorry Avengers, but your time is up. Men in Black 3 should take the weekend with ease.

My Pick of the Week: Gotta go with Moonrise Kingdom, out in limited release. Wes Anderson's latest, about the different ways we love each other, is sweet and funny and beautiful to watch, especially for those whose summer may include a little romance.

Now it's your turn -- let us know which film you think will win the weekend box office. 

Oh, and have a great holiday weekend everyone!

Follow along on Twitter @ErikDavis and @Moviesdotcom.  

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